The Dimensionless Blockage Index (DBI) tool indicates how stable a landslide dam is, given dam height and volume, and catchment area upstream of the dam.
When a landslide enters a stream or river, it may restrict flow, or even cause a total blockage. Water can accumulate behind the landslide, which forms a landslide dam. Landslide dams are ephemeral or enduring blockages of a stream by a landslide. They are part of multi-hazard, cascading slope-river systems. Landslide dams may form in diverse geographical environments and can result from various kinds of mass movements, such as debris and rock avalanches, falls, and slides, with triggers such as earthquakes, rainfall, volcanic eruptions, and fluvial erosion.
They can threaten upstream areas when lakes form behind them, and particularly areas downstream if dam breaching and downstream inundation and flooding occur. Most landslide dams fail by overtopping shortly after their formation. Up to 40% of dam collapses were recorded one day after their formation, whereas up to 85% failed within one year1-3.
Their stability is thus critical to assess. The Dimensionless Blockage Index (DBI)1 is the most commonly used geometric index in assessing landslide dam stability, based on previous case studies.
The DBI was originally based on existing geomorphometric relationships and analysis of 84 global records1. It was further tested on 300 cases in the Italian Alps in 20162.
The stability of a landslide dam was found to be related to the ratio of the following geomorphic parameters:
where AC = upstream catchment area (m2), HD = maximum height of dam (m), and VD = volume of dam (m3).
Using the newly released New Zealand Landslide Dam Database5,6, we have reanalysed the DBI and determined Probability of Failure (POF) values based on 266 cases within Aotearoa New Zealand.
POF | DBI |
---|---|
90% | 3.95 |
75% | 3.10 |
50% | 2.07 |
25% | 1.38 |
10% | 1.08 |
Possible improvements to this empirical model could be made by considering other variables and setting up a wider database in order to reach conclusions based on a statistical analysis using more rigorous statistical methods, such as parametric univariate (ANOVA) and multivariate methods.
The data and model on which this Tool is based, and the creation of the tool, were prepared by the Institute of Geological & Nuclear Sciences Limited (GNS Science) as part of a New Zealand Government funded research project (MBIE Endeavour - C05X1709). The information is derived from multiple data sources, including third party data, which are at various scales and resolutions. The tool in this context is defined as the data, model and process that allows the user to forecast the probability of failure of a landslide dam based on landslide dam height and volume, and upstream catchment area. The algorithm (model) underpinning the tool is based on the DBI1,4.
As there is always uncertainty associated with the data used and the models developed from it, GNS Science gives no warranties of any kind concerning its assessment and estimates, including accuracy, completeness, timeliness or fitness for purpose, and accepts no responsibility for any actions taken based on or reliance placed on the forecasts by any person or organisation. GNS Science excludes to the full extent permitted by law any liability to any person or organisation for any loss, damage or expense, direct or indirect, and however caused, whether through negligence or otherwise, resulting from any person or organisation's use of or reliance on the Tool, the results from it and the data it is based on.
The DBI considers three geomorphometric parameters (dam height and volume and upstream catchment area), and is thus indicative only for preliminary forecasting on the stability of landslide dams. It is not a substitute for a deterministic breach model that estimates hydrographs resulting from dam failures. It is recommended that on-site assessment of dam stability be carried out, particularly where people, buildings and infrastructure could be at risk. The Tool is intended to be used by suitably qualified people (e.g., Professional engineering geologists and geotechnical engineers) as part of their regional-scale ‘desktop’ assessment. This Tool should not be used as a replacement or substitute for site-specific analyses and assessments.
1 Ermini L, Casagli N (2003) Prediction of the behaviour of landslide dams using a geomorphological dimensionless index. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 28(1):31-47.
2 Costa JE and Schuster RL (1988) The formation and failure of natural dams. Geological society of America bulletin. 100(7), pp1054-1068
3 Fan X, Dufresne A, Subramanian SS, Strom A, Hermanns R, Stefanelli CT, Hewitt K, Yunus AP, Dunning S, Capra L and Geertsema M (2020) The formation and impact of landslide dams–State of the art. Earth-Science Reviews 203:103116, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103116.
4 Tacconi Stefanelli, C., Segoni, S., Casagli, N., Catani, F. (2016). Geomorphic indexing of landslide dams evolution. Engineering Geology, 208:1-10.
5 Morgenstern R, Wolter A, Cox SC, Lukovic B, Bain D, Sirohi A, Bruce Z, Jones K, Rosser B, Townsend D, Massey C. (2023). New Zealand Landslide Dam Database v1.0. https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/NW6MT
6 Morgenstern R, Wolter A, Cox SC, Lukovic B, Bain D, Sirohi A, Bruce Z, Jones K, Rosser B, Townsend D, Massey C. (2024). The New Zealand landslide dam database, v1. 0. Landslides. 21(1):121-134.